At Windermere, we are fortunate to have Matthew Gardner as our Chief Economist. In fact, we are one of the only real estate companies in the country to have such a well-respected expert sitting in this role. Not only is Matthew an asset to Windermere brokers and their clients, but he is a coveted resource within the industry. He is often called upon by major media outlets and industry think tanks for his insights and knowledge.

Every quarter Matthew produces The Gardner Report which explains statistics and trends and provides predictions for all of the market areas Windermere serves, see the links below. What is so great about this is you can read about where you live and also get a glimpse into other markets that may pique your interest.

Read the full Western Washington report here. Additionally, since Windermere spans the entire Western Region of the United States, he also provides this same report for Washington (Western, Central & Eastern), Oregon, Idaho, Montana, California (Southern & Northern), Utah, Colorado, and Nevada.

There has been a lot of state-to-state moves over the last few years. Many of these moves have been prompted by retirement, second home purchases, affordability, and remote working opportunities. This is a great way to research other markets you may be interested in. These reports update every quarter; please let me know if you’d like me to send them to you when they update. Also, I am connected to the Windermere-wide network of brokers and can easily find you a reputable broker who would be a stellar match for your real estate needs outside of my normal market area.

Further, I am also a part of a national and international network of real estate companies for referrals outside of the Windermere footprint. This is through Windermere’s affiliation with Leading Real Estate Companies of the World. Bottom line, I can help provide information and can help align you with a trusted real estate advisor anywhere in the world. Please reach out if I can help!

Lastly, Matthew also releases a monthly video that speaks to real estate market hot topics.  Here is his latest video that touches on the interest rates, inventory, inflation and more.

My office is working together with our entire Windermere family to hit $50 million raised for our 50th anniversary. Each dollar returns to our community through the Windermere Foundation, helping homeless and low-income families in the neighborhoods we serve.

Help us reach our goal by donating here!

Being part of an office and a company that cares deeply for the community is so important to me, and I’m excited to watch these numbers grow! We are currently wrapping up a donation drive among our Windermere North brokers to help send kids to YMCA summer camps. Look for those final numbers in the coming weeks!

As we round out the first quarter of 2022 and head into the notorious Spring Market there are a handful of factors that should be considered whether you are a buyer or a seller. Paying attention to the anticipated increase in housing supply, monitoring buyer demand, and assessing the effects of rising interest rates on the market, are current influencers but also have some historical merit. How will these factors affect home prices, buyer opportunities, and overall market conditions? It is important that as we look forward, we also look back, as keeping a well-researched, educated perspective will lead to success.

HOUSING INVENTORY IN BLOOM
April through July historically have the most homes coming to market during a given year. We are sitting at the starting line of selection! Buyers who have been battling through the first quarter (Q1) and find themselves discouraged need to stay calm and carry on into these listing-heavy months. The increase in supply will provide opportunities to win a house as more selection will decrease the number of offers on each house. We are already starting to see the double-digit multiple offers temper to 3-6 offers and sometimes even just one, as the number of listings has grown month-over-month since January.

This increase in supply will also start to moderate price escalations. There were very large price escalations in Q1; the average list-to-sale price ratio in February 2022 in Snohomish County was 10% and 11% in King. Many new listings will come to market this spring on the shoulders of those price gains which will reduce the escalation amounts. We like to call this stair-stepping up the list price based on recent sales. We still anticipate price appreciation but expect the month-over-month growth to decelerate off of these high peaks in Q1. This will create some ease for buyers who stay engaged with their home search.

BUDDING BUYER DEMAND CONTINUES TO OUTPACE SUPPLY
As we track pending sales through March, they continue to track with or outpace new supply depending on which area. This is an indicator that there will continue to be buyer demand to sustain the increase in new listings that are coming this spring. Many buyers are still positioning their pandemic-influenced housing needs and making moves due to work-from-home options. In addition, there is a large population of Baby Boomers transitioning to their right-size homes and a wave of Millennials are poised to make their entrance into homeownership. Buyer demand will be met with more selection over the coming months.

Speaking of first-time buyers, it is extremely important that they understand that besides the lifestyle decision of owning a home, they are making an important investment. Real estate is one of the strongest, if not the strongest wealth-building assets available. Paying towards your own asset vs. your landlord’s will help build net worth as your home appreciates. As a first-time buyer, it is as much about securing the wealth-building asset as it is about choosing an ideal place to live. Buyers always need to make concessions on either price, location, or features, but in the end, will end up with an appreciating asset that will start to build their financial future.

GROWING INTEREST RATES
Interest rates have taken a ride up over the last month as the first increase by the Fed was made to help combat inflation. An increase in interest rates has been predicted for some time, and it is finally happening after several years at all-time historic lows. It will be critical that buyers monitor the rates closely to make sure they relate the monthly payment to the price they are able to and willing to pay. Also, buyers can get creative with their lender and choose to buy down their rate in order to secure a lower rate, hence a lower monthly payment. Aligning with a skilled lender to help navigate the changing environment will be critical.

It is also important for consumers to understand that rates are still well below the 30-year average of 7.5%. This perspective is key, along with understanding that rates are probably not to their 2022 peak yet according to the experts. Acting sooner rather than later will help secure a lower debt service for your long-term investment. While the “tell-your-grandkids” rates of 2.75-4% may be gone, there is still an amazing story to tell where we sit now!

WHAT DOES THIS ALL MEAN FOR PRICES?
Seasonal increases in selection will start to temper the month-over-month increases in prices and higher rates may put downward pressure on price growth, but homeowners are still sitting on top of a heap of price appreciation. Price appreciation over the last 5 years has been formidable across our nation.

In Snohomish County, prices are up 23% complete year-over-year and up 73% from 5 years ago. In King County, prices are up 15% complete year-over-year and up 54% from 5 years ago. Historical average price appreciation is closer to 3-5% annually, so taking into account gains over the last handful of years is important to have a balanced perspective. The bottom line is sellers are equity rich and have advantageous options to make moves!

If you have been considering a move and are curious about the value of your home in today’s market, please reach out. I would be happy to assess your home’s value and help you start to formulate a plan. If you have been beaten up as a buyer in Q1, I urge you to stay in the game, you are at the cusp of opportunity. Buyers and sellers need each other now, more than ever. There will be more flexibility in the market with more selection. The inventory environment we have been in has been so intense. We are ready for the intensity to ease and for the market to be a bit more fluid.

All indicators point toward another positive year in real estate as we enter the spring market. It is always my goal to help keep my clients informed and empower strong decisions. Please reach out if I can help you or someone you know navigate their real estate goals.

You’re invited to our annual Paper Shredding Event & Food Drive. We partner with Confidential Data Disposal to provide a safe, eco-friendly way to reduce your paper trail and help prevent identity theft.

Saturday, April 9th, 10AM to 2PM*
4211 Alderwood Mall Blvd, Lynnwood
Bring your sensitive documents to be professionally destroyed on-site. Limit 10 file boxes per visitor.

This is a paper-only event. No x-rays, electronics, recyclables, or any other materials.

We will also be collecting non-perishable food and cash donations to benefit Volunteers of America Western Washington food banks. Donations are not required, but are appreciated. Hope to see you there! *Or until the trucks are full

A lot has happened in our world since the first of the year, specifically the rise in inflation and the recent Russian invasion of Ukraine. These factors can influence consumers and affect the housing and financial markets. Additionally, global unrest has had a clear influence on interest rates, driving them back down after a 1-point increase since November 2021.

Please listen to the latest video update from Windermere’s Chief Economist, Matthew Gardner (link below) that was released this Monday, 3/7/22. He provides updated insights and projections for the housing market and interest rates for 2022 and beyond, some of which have been adjusted since his January forecast.

It is always my goal to help keep my clients informed and empower strong decisions. At Windermere, we are so fortunate to have Matthew in our corner providing such expertise to help us help our clients strategically navigate the environment. Please reach out if you have any questions or if you would like to discuss how your goals relate to the market.

As Matthew stated in the video above, it is important that we keep interest rates in perspective. The chart below illustrates where rates are hovering today and where he and other experts expect to see them by the end of the year and how that affects monthly mortgage payments (principal & interest only).

We also have included the 30-year average rate to show the historical significance of today’s low rates. Even though rates have come up 1 point since the absolute bottom level in January 2021, they are still much lower than the historical average, and they are helping to offset affordability challenges.

However, at some point, rates could reach 5% which could put downward pressure on prices like the last time rates reached that level in the latter part of 2018. It is all about how the monthly payment pans out based on the rate. The variable effect of rates on prices will find its balance based on buyer appetites for monthly payment amounts.

You’re invited to our annual Paper Shredding Event & Food Drive. We partner with Confidential Data Disposal to provide a safe, eco-friendly way to reduce your paper trail and help prevent identity theft.

Saturday, April 9th, 10AM to 2PM*
4211 Alderwood Mall Blvd, Lynnwood
Bring your sensitive documents to be professionally destroyed on-site. Limit 10 file boxes per visitor.

This is a paper-only event. No x-rays, electronics, recyclables, or any other materials.

We will also be collecting non-perishable food and cash donations to benefit Volunteers of America Western Washington food banks. Donations are not required, but are appreciated. Hope to see you there!

*Or until the trucks are full

How a home is prepared for the market has a direct economic effect on the results a seller will have in the marketplace. Making home updates to match today’s trends, repairing deferred maintenance items, deep cleaning, and home staging all help contribute to a higher return for home sellers and less time on the market. According to the National Association of Realtors, 82% of home buyers said that staging and proper home preparation helped them better visualize a property as their future home. Even in the brisk seller’s market we are currently experiencing, it has paid off for sellers to get their properties ready for market in order to reap the highest return in the quickest amount of time. This is why Windermere has partnered with Move Forward Financial and developed the Windermere Ready Loan.

The Windermere Ready Loan allows our home sellers to receive access to funds to make home improvements and merchandise their homes for the market with no upfront cost. Clients can borrow up to $50,000 as long as the Windermere Ready Loan and any other encumbrances on the property do not exceed 75% of the market value. With the majority of Puget Sound cities having experienced 15-25% in price appreciation over the last year or two, this loan-to-value ratio is very manageable.

Even better, this program does not require a costly appraisal, but just an approved Comparative Market Analysis (CMA) from their Windermere broker and their office manager. Once that is done, approval can happen as fast as 2 business days and the loan can fund in 10 business days. In comparison to a cash-out refinance or home equity line of credit which both can take up to 60 days, the turnaround time is minimal.

The loan fee is 4% (based on the loan amount) and is due only once the subject property closes and requires no interest payments. There is a nominal $20 credit reporting fee and a $20 administrative fee collected at closing as well. Loans must fund within 60 days of approval and are due within 6 months of funding.

Clients do not need to present bids, only a predetermined amount they want to borrow that does not eclipse the 75% loan-to-value amount. Clients can also choose their own contractors. I also have a list of preferred contractors that I can access to help concierge the home-preparation experience for my clients.

I understand that getting a home ready to sell is not always an easy feat, but one worth the effort to get the most optimal outcome. If you are interested in learning more about this program, please reach out. I am happy to answer more questions, assist you in the process and help you get your home Windermere Ready in 2022!

Please join me for a very special virtual live event:

AN ECONOMIC FORECAST FOR 2022 & BEYOND
with Matthew Gardner, Chief Economist for Windermere Real Estate

Wednesday, January 19, 2022
6:30pm – 8pm

Presentation from 6:30-7:30pm, Q&A to follow

Please RSVP by phone/text or email by January 14th, 2022
to receive an emailed event link prior to the event.

This holiday season, I invite you to join me in this tangible way of showing gratitude and support to our healthcare workers, who have worked so long and hard under the most difficult circumstances.

In tandem with The Windermere Foundation and local non-profit We Got This Seattle, my office is collecting donations that will be used to purchase meals from local restaurants. We will be personally delivering these meals over three weeks to a coordinated point person at Providence Hospital in Everett, Swedish Edmonds, and UW Medical Center-Northwest. Meals and treats will be distributed to frontline workers such as nurses, doctors, respiratory therapists, and cleaning staff.

We are still collecting donations for UW Medical Center – Northwest. You can donate here through December 27th.

Results so far:

• $1,345 donated for meals to Providence Everett, we delivered 150 meals on December 16th!!!
• $2,105 donated for meals to Swedish Edmonds!! We will deliver meals right around the Christmas holiday.

Thank you for your generous gifts in support of our community.

Happy Holidays!

At Windermere, we have the benefit of being expertly guided by our Chief Economist, Matthew Gardner. Every year he shares his predictions for the US Economy and Housing Market. I have included a list of highlights below along with a link to a video where he spells it all out.

Matthew’s Forecast for the US Economy:

• The US will still continue to feel the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on the economy. He acknowledges that we are healing, but still experiencing drag due to supply chain delays and Covid-sensitive consumers. He expects this to improve as we head into spring and the second half of 2022.
• He predicts a 4% increase in GDP in 2022.
• Even though we are still experiencing supply chain delays and labor shortages he does not anticipate a recession.
• He predicts more robust job growth in 2022 and returning to pre-Covid employment in the second half of 2022.
• Inflation is still very much affected by supply chain issues and labor shortages, but he sees that settling out mid-2022.
• Interest rates will help to counteract inflation and will start to increase in 2022, but not crest 4%.

Matthew’s Forecast for the US Housing Market:

• There will be a modest reduction in home sales year-over-year, but realize this is coming off of a high volume of sales in 2021.
• After a record-breaking 16% increase in median price in 2021, he predicts a 7% increase in median price year-over-year in 2022. This slow down in appreciation will be due to increased interest rates, affordability, and a slight increase in supply.
• Housing starts will increase, but more importantly, construction completion will increase due to supply chain issues and labor shortages improving.
• Interest rates will increase towards 4% as we travel through 2022, but will still be well below the 30 year average of 7.5%.
• There will not be a housing bubble due to high demand for housing, job growth improving, and the overall recovery of the US economy.
• He is not concerned about forbearance, but more so affordability for the aging millennial generation who would like to purchase their first home.
• He sees the housing market moving towards more balance in 2022 after an incredible year of growth in 2021.

Look for Matthew’s local economy and housing market predictions from me in January.  My office is also hosting a virtual Economic Forecast event with Matthew on January 19th.  Stay tuned for more information.

Overall, this is a positive outlook weighted with some real challenges that we still face as we recover from the global pandemic. It is always my goal to help keep my clients well-informed and empower strong decisions. Please reach out if you are curious about how the housing market relates to your goals or if you’d like to attend the virtual economic forecast event with Matthew in January.

Thank you to everyone who donated to our Thanksgiving food drive! Because of your generosity, we were able to give The Volunteers of America Food Banks a check for $3,075 and 2,169 pounds of food! That will provide a total of 3,498 meals for our community.

Food insecurity is one of the most prevalent social issues of our time. VOA food banks, food pantries, and distribution center all exist to tackle hunger in our community and also serve as touchpoints to connect our neighbors with other basic needs.

Thank you!

This holiday season, I invite you to join me in this tangible way of showing gratitude and support to our healthcare workers, who have worked so long and hard under the most difficult circumstances.

In tandem with The Windermere Foundation and local non-profit We Got This Seattle, my office is collecting donations that will be used to purchase meals from local restaurants. We will be personally delivering these meals over three weeks to a coordinated point person at Providence Hospital in Everett, Swedish Edmonds, and UW Medical Center-Northwest. Meals and treats will be distributed to frontline workers such as nurses, doctors, respiratory therapists, and cleaning staff.

All funds collected through:
12/6-13 will provide meals to Providence Everett
12/14-20 will provide meals to Swedish Edmonds
12/21-27 will provide meals to UW Medical Center – Northwest

>> Click here to donate!

Thank you for your generous gifts in support of our community.

Happy Holidays!